Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By $0.17 EPS

Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) announced its quarterly earnings data on Thursday. The company reported $0.88 earnings per share for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.05 by ($0.17), FiscalAI reports. The company had revenue of $1.33 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.38 billion. Hilton Grand Vacations had a net margin of 1.06% and a return on equity of 9.52%. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 3.8% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business earned $0.49 EPS.

Here are the key takeaways from Hilton Grand Vacations’ conference call:

• Strong 2025 performance and capital returns: Contract sales grew ~10% for the year, Adjusted EBITDA was about $1.15 billion (Q4 Adjusted EBITDA to shareholders was $324M, +12%), the company hit its $100M cost synergy target ahead of schedule and returned $600M to shareholders in 2025 (over $1B returned in the past two years).
• HGV Max driving member value: HGV Max memberships grew ~35% to 266,000, with Max members showing >20% higher lifetime value vs. non?Max members and driving new-buyer and upgrade demand.
• Financing optimization improving liquidity but has near-term costs: The company securitized ~73% of receivables and introduced timeshare ABS in Japan to lower funding costs and boost cash flow (Adjusted FCF $756M for the year), while acknowledging the program raises consumer interest expense in 2025–2026.
• 2026 outlook and cadence: Guidance calls for Adjusted EBITDA before deferrals of $1.185–1.225B with low single?digit contract sales growth, an expected Q1 trough/flat EBITDA then sequential improvement, and adjusted free cash flow conversion targeting the 55%–65% long?term range (lower half in 2026).
• Resort/rental headwinds and inventory review: Rental/ancillary results were pressured by excess inventory and developer maintenance fees (reported a $8M loss), and management is evaluating organic and inorganic options to reduce inventory and optimize the portfolio, which could weigh on near?term segment profitability.

Hilton Grand Vacations Stock Down 3.8%

HGV traded down $1.87 on Thursday, hitting $46.73. The company had a trading volume of 1,477,669 shares, compared to its average volume of 803,538. The stock has a market capitalization of $4.00 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 84.97, a P/E/G ratio of 1.05 and a beta of 1.48. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.67, a quick ratio of 3.12 and a current ratio of 5.02. The stock has a fifty day moving average price of $46.29 and a 200-day moving average price of $44.39. Hilton Grand Vacations has a 12-month low of $30.59 and a 12-month high of $52.08.

Key Hilton Grand Vacations News

Here are the key news stories impacting Hilton Grand Vacations this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Management set a 2026 adjusted?EBITDA target of $1.185B–$1.225B and emphasized a strong focus on capital returns (share repurchases/dividend capacity and disciplined allocation), which could support shareholder value if achieved. Hilton Grand Vacations outlines $1.185B–$1.225B adjusted EBITDA target for 2026 with strong capital returns focus
• Neutral Sentiment: The Q4 earnings call/transcript provides management commentary on results, seasonality, inventory/owner metrics and the drivers behind the 2026 target — useful for judging execution risk and timing of capital returns. Investors should read management’s tone on demand trends and cost control. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
• Neutral Sentiment: The company’s press release and slide deck (posted with the earnings release) show revenue grew ~3.8% YoY and EPS improved vs. a year ago, but provide detail on segment performance and capital allocation plans that will determine whether guidance is credible. Hilton Grand Vacations earnings and slide deck
• Negative Sentiment: Q4 results missed consensus: EPS $0.88 vs. $1.05 expected and revenue $1.33B vs. ~$1.38B expected. The miss is pressuring the stock now as investors weigh execution risk against management’s longer?term targets. Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates

Analysts Set New Price Targets

Several analysts have recently weighed in on HGV shares. Morgan Stanley reaffirmed an “equal weight” rating and set a $49.00 price target on shares of Hilton Grand Vacations in a research note on Friday, January 16th. Wells Fargo & Company initiated coverage on Hilton Grand Vacations in a report on Tuesday, November 18th. They set an “equal weight” rating and a $42.00 price objective on the stock. Truist Financial decreased their target price on Hilton Grand Vacations from $62.00 to $59.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, November 14th. Zacks Research raised Hilton Grand Vacations from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Monday, December 22nd. Finally, Weiss Ratings upgraded Hilton Grand Vacations from a “sell (d+)” rating to a “hold (c-)” rating in a research note on Tuesday, February 17th. Four equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, five have given a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $53.00.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of HGV. Quadrant Capital Group LLC lifted its position in Hilton Grand Vacations by 13.2% during the fourth quarter. Quadrant Capital Group LLC now owns 2,501 shares of the company’s stock valued at $112,000 after acquiring an additional 291 shares during the last quarter. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC increased its position in shares of Hilton Grand Vacations by 743.4% during the second quarter. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 641 shares of the company’s stock worth $27,000 after purchasing an additional 565 shares in the last quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. increased its position in shares of Hilton Grand Vacations by 1.5% during the first quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. now owns 41,304 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,545,000 after purchasing an additional 615 shares in the last quarter. Victory Capital Management Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Hilton Grand Vacations by 3.4% during the 3rd quarter. Victory Capital Management Inc. now owns 22,856 shares of the company’s stock valued at $956,000 after purchasing an additional 761 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Kestra Advisory Services LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Hilton Grand Vacations in the 4th quarter worth $44,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 97.23% of the company’s stock.

Hilton Grand Vacations Company Profile

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is a leading developer and marketer of premium vacation ownership resorts. The company specializes in selling timeshare interests in vacation properties under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand, enabling members to purchase deeded real estate interests and utilize a points-based system for booking stays. Alongside new sales, the company provides ongoing management services for its portfolio of resorts, ensuring high standards of guest services, resort maintenance, and member engagement through its proprietary technology platform.

In addition to vacation ownership sales, Hilton Grand Vacations offers a comprehensive suite of membership benefits.