Wedbush Forecasts The GEO Group’s Q3 Earnings (NYSE:GEO)

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) – Investment analysts at Wedbush increased their Q3 2025 earnings estimates for The GEO Group in a research note issued to investors on Thursday, May 8th. Wedbush analyst J. Mccanless now expects that the real estate investment trust will post earnings of $0.26 per share for the quarter, up from their prior forecast of $0.24. Wedbush has a “Outperform” rating and a $36.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for The GEO Group’s current full-year earnings is $0.83 per share. Wedbush also issued estimates for The GEO Group’s Q4 2025 earnings at $0.28 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $1.14 EPS.

The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) last released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday, May 7th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.14 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.18 by ($0.04). The GEO Group had a return on equity of 9.20% and a net margin of 2.00%. The company had revenue of $604.65 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $611.81 million. During the same period last year, the firm earned $0.14 earnings per share.

Other equities research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the stock. Noble Financial reissued an “outperform” rating on shares of The GEO Group in a research report on Monday, March 24th. StockNews.com raised shares of The GEO Group from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Friday, May 9th. UBS Group set a $35.00 target price on shares of The GEO Group in a research report on Monday, March 24th. Finally, Jones Trading reduced their target price on shares of The GEO Group from $55.00 to $50.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, May 8th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have issued a buy rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the company presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $38.00.

The GEO Group Trading Up 1.8%

GEO stock opened at $26.62 on Monday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, a current ratio of 1.10 and a quick ratio of 1.10. The company has a fifty day moving average price of $28.34 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $27.77. The GEO Group has a one year low of $11.75 and a one year high of $36.46. The stock has a market cap of $3.75 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 91.80, a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 2.11 and a beta of 0.80.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC raised its stake in The GEO Group by 91.9% during the fourth quarter. Nisa Investment Advisors LLC now owns 859,528 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $24,050,000 after acquiring an additional 411,565 shares in the last quarter. RoundAngle Advisors LLC acquired a new position in The GEO Group during the fourth quarter worth about $806,000. Pinnbrook Capital Management LP acquired a new position in The GEO Group during the fourth quarter worth about $4,837,000. Wells Fargo & Company MN raised its stake in The GEO Group by 17.2% during the fourth quarter. Wells Fargo & Company MN now owns 106,488 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $2,980,000 after acquiring an additional 15,663 shares in the last quarter. Finally, State of New Jersey Common Pension Fund D acquired a new position in The GEO Group during the fourth quarter worth about $2,068,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 76.10% of the company’s stock.

Insider Activity at The GEO Group

In related news, EVP Shayn P. March sold 7,500 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Thursday, March 27th. The stock was sold at an average price of $30.00, for a total value of $225,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the executive vice president now owns 67,469 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $2,024,070. The trade was a 10.00% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this link. 5.30% of the stock is owned by insiders.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.