Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Releases Earnings Results, Misses Estimates By $0.12 EPS

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) released its earnings results on Thursday. The company reported ($0.21) earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.09) by ($0.12), FiscalAI reports. Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 16.67% and a negative return on equity of 13.66%. The company had revenue of $187.95 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $170.60 million. During the same period in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.03) EPS. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 30.5% compared to the same quarter last year.

Here are the key takeaways from Genius Sports’ conference call:

• Legend acquisition closed; integration is underway and management says the deal is immediately margin?accretive, raising 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 28% and pulling long?term margin targets forward by two years.
• Q1 showed broad-based strength with group revenue up 31%, adjusted EBITDA up 21%, betting +33% and media +22%, supported by 120%–130% net revenue retention and a geographically diversified customer base.
• The newly launched Moment Engine has rapid commercial traction (integrated with ~90% of the programmatic ecosystem, ~70 new advertisers) and early high?yield advertiser wins (e.g., Samsung increased spend 220%), which management expects to drive high?margin media revenue over time.
• Management highlighted a meaningful early opportunity in prediction markets—onboarding market makers to its low?latency feeds and expecting incremental data and ad demand—but noted the regulatory framework is evolving and most upside is not yet included in guidance.
• Guidance and financing: full?year 2026 revenue of $990M–$1.01B and adjusted EBITDA of $270M–$280M (Q2 ~ $185M revenue / $45M adj EBITDA); the company closed an $825M Term Loan A at SOFR+350bp with conservative sizing, expects a seasonal Q2 cash low point and ~ $100M of cash generation in H2 (50%–55% conversion), and targets improved FCF conversion into 2027–2028.

Genius Sports Price Performance

Shares of NYSE:GENI traded down $0.39 on Friday, hitting $4.39. 6,045,006 shares of the company’s stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 6,221,824. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.08 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -10.22 and a beta of 1.80. Genius Sports has a 12 month low of $3.83 and a 12 month high of $13.73. The business’s 50 day simple moving average is $4.83 and its two-hundred day simple moving average is $8.00.

Genius Sports News Summary

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Several analysts still see significant upside in Genius Sports, even after trimming price targets: Citi cut its target to $8, BTIG to $9, and Needham to $10, all while maintaining buy ratings. That suggests analysts still view the recent selloff as overdone relative to the company’s long-term potential.
• Positive Sentiment: Genius Sports raised its outlook and highlighted growth tied to prediction markets, which could become an additional revenue tailwind if that trend continues. Genius Sports Touts Prediction Market Growth, Raises Outlook
• Positive Sentiment: Investor interest is also being supported by bullish coverage framing Genius Sports as a beneficiary of the broader prediction-market boom, reinforcing the stock’s longer-term growth narrative. Kalshi vs. Polymarket? This Small-Cap Sports Data Stock Is the Surefire Winner Either Way.
• Neutral Sentiment: The company reported first-quarter revenue of $187.95 million, above expectations and up 30.5% year over year, but earnings missed estimates at a loss of $0.21 per share versus the expected $0.09 loss. The revenue beat is constructive, but the earnings miss likely kept sentiment mixed. Genius Sports quarterly earnings report

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

GENI has been the subject of several recent analyst reports. Guggenheim dropped their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Friday, February 6th. BTIG Research lowered their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Thursday. Truist Financial dropped their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $13.00 to $10.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Tuesday, April 21st. Needham & Company LLC cut their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $14.00 to $10.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Friday. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company reduced their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a research report on Thursday, March 5th. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have given a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $11.78.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Genius Sports

A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. Royal Bank of Canada grew its stake in Genius Sports by 17.6% in the 1st quarter. Royal Bank of Canada now owns 44,339 shares of the company’s stock worth $444,000 after acquiring an additional 6,623 shares in the last quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers increased its position in shares of Genius Sports by 10.0% during the second quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers now owns 15,288 shares of the company’s stock worth $159,000 after acquiring an additional 1,388 shares during the period. Prudential Financial Inc. bought a new stake in shares of Genius Sports during the second quarter valued at approximately $266,000. Invesco Ltd. boosted its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 3,584.2% in the second quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 3,291,635 shares of the company’s stock valued at $34,233,000 after purchasing an additional 3,202,290 shares during the period. Finally, Frontier Capital Management Co. LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Genius Sports in the second quarter valued at approximately $14,220,000. Institutional investors own 81.91% of the company’s stock.

Genius Sports Company Profile

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.