Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Releases Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $1.00 EPS

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) released its quarterly earnings data on Thursday. The financial services provider reported $2.50 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.50 by $1.00, FiscalAI reports. Assured Guaranty had a net margin of 40.45% and a return on equity of 6.92%. The firm had revenue of $261.00 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $208.63 million. During the same period last year, the firm earned $3.18 earnings per share. The company’s quarterly revenue was down 24.3% on a year-over-year basis.

Assured Guaranty Stock Down 8.9%

AGO traded down $7.31 during trading on Friday, hitting $75.12. The stock had a trading volume of 1,337,167 shares, compared to its average volume of 357,222. The company has a market capitalization of $3.37 billion, a PE ratio of 8.62 and a beta of 0.81. Assured Guaranty has a twelve month low of $74.18 and a twelve month high of $92.39. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, a quick ratio of 0.79 and a current ratio of 0.79. The stock has a 50 day simple moving average of $83.17 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $85.67.

Assured Guaranty Announces Dividend

The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, May 29th. Shareholders of record on Friday, May 15th will be paid a $0.38 dividend. This represents a $1.52 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.0%. The ex-dividend date is Friday, May 15th. Assured Guaranty’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is 14.84%.

Analyst Ratings Changes

A number of research firms have recently issued reports on AGO. Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of Assured Guaranty from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a research note on Wednesday, April 29th. Wall Street Zen upgraded shares of Assured Guaranty from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Saturday, May 2nd. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods dropped their price objective on shares of Assured Guaranty from $108.00 to $103.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday, March 19th. Finally, Roth Mkm downgraded shares of Assured Guaranty from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating and set a $80.00 price objective on the stock. in a research note on Friday. Two research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and three have assigned a Hold rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $92.33.

Key Assured Guaranty News

Here are the key news stories impacting Assured Guaranty this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Assured Guaranty beat first-quarter EPS expectations, reporting $2.50 per share versus the $1.50 consensus, and revenue of $261.0 million also topped estimates. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for First Quarter 2026
• Positive Sentiment: Management said new business production improved sharply, with first-quarter gross written premium and present value of premium both roughly doubling year over year, signaling stronger origination activity. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for First Quarter 2026
• Neutral Sentiment: Analysts currently rate Assured Guaranty a “Hold,” suggesting the stock may be fairly valued despite the earnings beat. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Receives Consensus Recommendation of “Hold” from Analysts
• Neutral Sentiment: Several articles are centered on the company’s Q1 earnings presentation and snapshot, reinforcing that the market is still parsing the details of the quarter. Assured Guaranty Ltd. 2026 Q1 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation
• Negative Sentiment: Despite the earnings beat, quarterly revenue declined 24.3% year over year and EPS also fell from $3.18 a year ago, which may be weighing on sentiment. Assured Guaranty stock performance and earnings summary
• Negative Sentiment: Market commentary is also highlighting that AGO could be vulnerable to new lows amid Russell 1000 activity, adding to concerns about near-term technical pressure. Could Assured Guaranty Hit New Lows Amid Russell 1000 Activity?

Insider Activity

In other news, major shareholder Guaranty Ltd Assured bought 242,718 shares of the stock in a transaction on Thursday, April 30th. The stock was bought at an average cost of $24.72 per share, for a total transaction of $5,999,988.96. Following the completion of the purchase, the insider directly owned 1,002,718 shares in the company, valued at approximately $24,787,188.96. The trade was a 31.94% increase in their ownership of the stock. The acquisition was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this link. Also, Director Lorin Radtke sold 1,219 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, March 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $87.14, for a total transaction of $106,223.66. Following the completion of the sale, the director owned 8,297 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $723,000.58. This trade represents a 12.81% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Insiders have sold 174,969 shares of company stock valued at $14,096,948 in the last ninety days. 5.70% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Assured Guaranty

Several institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. HighTower Advisors LLC lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 3.7% during the fourth quarter. HighTower Advisors LLC now owns 5,111 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $459,000 after buying an additional 184 shares during the period. Vanguard Personalized Indexing Management LLC lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 3.4% during the fourth quarter. Vanguard Personalized Indexing Management LLC now owns 6,030 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $542,000 after buying an additional 198 shares during the period. Prelude Capital Management LLC lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 6.3% during the third quarter. Prelude Capital Management LLC now owns 3,357 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $284,000 after buying an additional 199 shares during the period. Osaic Holdings Inc. lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 12.9% during the second quarter. Osaic Holdings Inc. now owns 1,764 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $154,000 after buying an additional 202 shares during the period. Finally, Prudential Financial Inc. lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 8.9% during the second quarter. Prudential Financial Inc. now owns 3,600 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $322,000 after buying an additional 295 shares during the period. 92.22% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

About Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a Bermuda-domiciled provider of financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance products serving public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. The company’s primary business activity is credit enhancement, whereby it guarantees the timely payment of principal and interest on debt obligations issued by municipal and infrastructure entities. By combining rigorous risk assessment with active portfolio management, Assured Guaranty helps issuers access capital at more attractive rates while protecting investors against credit events.

In its public finance segment, the company underwrites municipal bond insurance for state and local governments, public-private partnerships and essential infrastructure projects.