CF Industries (NYSE:CF) Shares Gap Down – Time to Sell?

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CFGet Free Report)’s stock price gapped down before the market opened on Friday . The stock had previously closed at $124.71, but opened at $114.00. CF Industries shares last traded at $111.1640, with a volume of 902,310 shares.

Key Stories Impacting CF Industries

Here are the key news stories impacting CF Industries this week:

  • Positive Sentiment: Barclays raised its price target to $130 and kept an “overweight” rating, signaling analyst confidence in CF’s outlook and implying material upside from recent levels. Barclays Raises PT
  • Positive Sentiment: Goldman Sachs bumped its price target to $132, another institutional upgrade that supports investor sentiment and valuation takeaways. Goldman Sachs Increases PT
  • Positive Sentiment: Positive commentary from Seeking Alpha highlights CF’s durable cost advantage from U.S. natural gas, aggressive buybacks (large share count reduction) and a low forward P/E versus peers — factors argued to support sustained margins and shareholder returns. Seeking Alpha Bull Case
  • Positive Sentiment: Fertilizer prices have risen to near three?year highs amid geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East, a macro tailwind that tends to boost pricing and revenues for large nitrogen producers like CF. Fertilizer Prices Rise
  • Neutral Sentiment: A Zacks comparison of CF and Mosaic notes strong sector demand but divergent earnings trends, cost profiles and returns — useful for investors assessing relative risk/return but not a clear directional catalyst for CF alone. Zacks CF vs MOS Analysis
  • Negative Sentiment: MarketWatch flagged that CF underperformed peers on a recent trading day despite daily gains, a signal that relative performance risk and sector rotation could pressure the stock even with industry tailwinds. MarketWatch Underperformance Note

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

CF has been the topic of several research reports. BMO Capital Markets boosted their price objective on shares of CF Industries from $115.00 to $140.00 and gave the stock an “outperform” rating in a research note on Wednesday, March 18th. Scotiabank upped their target price on shares of CF Industries from $82.00 to $85.00 and gave the stock a “sector perform” rating in a research note on Monday, February 23rd. Rothschild & Co Redburn set a $72.00 target price on shares of CF Industries in a research note on Wednesday, February 4th. Royal Bank Of Canada upped their target price on shares of CF Industries from $100.00 to $125.00 and gave the stock a “sector perform” rating in a research note on Tuesday, April 7th. Finally, Weiss Ratings upgraded shares of CF Industries from a “hold (c+)” rating to a “buy (b-)” rating in a research note on Friday, March 13th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have assigned a Buy rating, eleven have assigned a Hold rating and three have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock has an average rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $114.87.

Get Our Latest Research Report on CF

CF Industries Trading Down 8.4%

The firm’s 50 day moving average price is $114.44 and its 200-day moving average price is $94.31. The stock has a market cap of $17.55 billion, a P/E ratio of 12.68 and a beta of 0.52. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41, a current ratio of 3.37 and a quick ratio of 2.93.

CF Industries (NYSE:CFGet Free Report) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, February 18th. The basic materials company reported $2.59 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $2.53 by $0.06. The firm had revenue of $1.87 billion for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.78 billion. CF Industries had a net margin of 20.54% and a return on equity of 19.84%. The business’s revenue was up 22.8% on a year-over-year basis. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted $1.89 earnings per share. As a group, equities research analysts forecast that CF Industries Holdings, Inc. will post 5.83 earnings per share for the current year.

CF Industries Announces Dividend

The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Friday, February 27th. Stockholders of record on Friday, February 13th were issued a dividend of $0.50 per share. This represents a $2.00 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 1.8%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Friday, February 13th. CF Industries’s payout ratio is presently 22.22%.

Insider Buying and Selling at CF Industries

In other CF Industries news, EVP Bert A. Frost sold 10,000 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, March 6th. The shares were sold at an average price of $119.01, for a total value of $1,190,100.00. Following the transaction, the executive vice president directly owned 87,256 shares in the company, valued at approximately $10,384,336.56. This trade represents a 10.28% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Also, EVP Susan L. Menzel sold 18,041 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, March 12th. The stock was sold at an average price of $136.06, for a total transaction of $2,454,658.46. Following the completion of the transaction, the executive vice president owned 55,762 shares in the company, valued at $7,586,977.72. The trade was a 24.44% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Insiders have sold a total of 82,408 shares of company stock valued at $9,971,298 over the last three months. Insiders own 0.51% of the company’s stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the business. Harbor Capital Advisors Inc. raised its position in CF Industries by 78.0% in the third quarter. Harbor Capital Advisors Inc. now owns 292 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $26,000 after acquiring an additional 128 shares during the period. True Wealth Design LLC raised its position in CF Industries by 396.2% in the third quarter. True Wealth Design LLC now owns 387 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $35,000 after acquiring an additional 309 shares during the period. Eastern Bank bought a new position in CF Industries in the third quarter worth approximately $35,000. Peterson Wealth Services raised its position in CF Industries by 451.3% in the third quarter. Peterson Wealth Services now owns 441 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $40,000 after acquiring an additional 361 shares during the period. Finally, Root Financial Partners LLC bought a new position in CF Industries in the third quarter worth approximately $41,000. 93.06% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

About CF Industries

(Get Free Report)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc is a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products for agricultural and industrial customers. The company specializes in the production of ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), nitric acid and ammonium nitrate, which serve as key inputs for fertilizer blends, industrial chemicals and other downstream applications.

Headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois, CF Industries operates production facilities and distribution terminals across North America and the United Kingdom.

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