Northland Capmk Forecasts Lower Earnings for The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) – Analysts at Northland Capmk lowered their Q2 2025 earnings estimates for The GEO Group in a research report issued to clients and investors on Thursday, May 8th. Northland Capmk analyst G. Gibas now expects that the real estate investment trust will earn $0.16 per share for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of $0.23. The consensus estimate for The GEO Group’s current full-year earnings is $0.83 per share. Northland Capmk also issued estimates for The GEO Group’s Q3 2025 earnings at $0.24 EPS and Q4 2025 earnings at $0.31 EPS.

The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) last posted its earnings results on Wednesday, May 7th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.14 EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.18 by ($0.04). The business had revenue of $604.65 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $611.81 million. The GEO Group had a return on equity of 9.20% and a net margin of 2.00%. During the same period in the previous year, the company earned $0.14 earnings per share.

A number of other research firms have also recently issued reports on GEO. Jones Trading decreased their price target on shares of The GEO Group from $55.00 to $50.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Thursday, May 8th. Wedbush restated an “outperform” rating and set a $36.00 price target (down from $46.00) on shares of The GEO Group in a report on Thursday, May 8th. StockNews.com upgraded shares of The GEO Group from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Friday, May 9th. UBS Group set a $35.00 price target on shares of The GEO Group in a report on Monday, March 24th. Finally, Noble Financial restated an “outperform” rating on shares of The GEO Group in a report on Monday, March 24th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a hold rating and four have issued a buy rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, The GEO Group presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $38.00.

The GEO Group Trading Up 1.8%

The GEO Group stock opened at $26.62 on Monday. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.25, a current ratio of 1.10 and a quick ratio of 1.10. The GEO Group has a one year low of $11.75 and a one year high of $36.46. The company’s fifty day moving average price is $28.34 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $27.77. The company has a market capitalization of $3.75 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 91.80, a PEG ratio of 2.11 and a beta of 0.80.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in GEO. Discovery Capital Management LLC CT lifted its stake in The GEO Group by 375.2% during the fourth quarter. Discovery Capital Management LLC CT now owns 1,839,500 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $51,469,000 after purchasing an additional 1,452,400 shares during the period. Point72 Asset Management L.P. lifted its stake in The GEO Group by 202.6% during the fourth quarter. Point72 Asset Management L.P. now owns 2,124,783 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $59,451,000 after purchasing an additional 1,422,676 shares during the period. Newbrook Capital Advisors LP bought a new position in The GEO Group during the fourth quarter worth about $35,738,000. BlueCrest Capital Management Ltd bought a new position in The GEO Group during the fourth quarter worth about $34,456,000. Finally, Forest Avenue Capital Management LP bought a new position in The GEO Group during the fourth quarter worth about $20,197,000. Institutional investors own 76.10% of the company’s stock.

Insider Activity at The GEO Group

In related news, EVP Shayn P. March sold 7,500 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Thursday, March 27th. The shares were sold at an average price of $30.00, for a total value of $225,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the executive vice president now owns 67,469 shares in the company, valued at approximately $2,024,070. This trade represents a 10.00% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this hyperlink. 5.30% of the stock is owned by corporate insiders.

About The GEO Group

The GEO Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.